Nvidia has achieved big with its CUDA platform. With the success of the CUDA platform, Nvidia’s hardware technology is rivaled by Intel. Now, Nvidia Vice President and Chief Scientist Bill Dally has released a bold statement saying that the Moore’s Law does not hold anymore.
He has said that while there has been a considerable increase in CPU speed, overall processing power has not followed suite. This goes as a blow to Intel, given that Intel is the leader in CPU technologies.
There is a paper written by Gordon Moore, the co-founder of Intel ( INTC – news – people ). Published 45 years ago this month, the paper predicted the number of transistors on an integrated circuit would double each year (later revised to doubling every 18 months). This prediction laid the groundwork for another prediction: that doubling the number of transistors would also double the performance of CPUs every 18 months.
This bold prediction became known as Moore’s Law.
Moore’s paper also contained another prediction that has received far less attention over the years. He projected that the amount of energy consumed by each unit of computing would decrease as the number of transistors increased. This enabled computing performance to scale up while the electrical power consumed remained constant.
But in a development that’s been largely overlooked, this power scaling has ended. And as a result, the CPU scaling predicted by Moore’s Law is now dead. CPU performance no longer doubles every 18 months. And that poses a grave threat to the many industries that rely on the historic growth in computing performance.
Now, that is something to watch out for, given that a larger part of the hardware business out there follows Moore’s Law like the Book of Wisdom. Let us see how Intel responds to this. Till then, Nvidia is happy it broke a barrier in technology. After all, that is what makes them so much better.