Nvidia Puts Intel’s Moore’s Law to Shame
By on May 4th, 2010

Nvidia has achieved big with its CUDA platform. With the success of the CUDA platform, Nvidia’s hardware technology is rivaled by Intel. Now, Nvidia Vice President and Chief Scientist Bill Dally has released a bold statement saying that the Moore’s Law does not hold anymore.

He has said that while there has been a considerable increase in CPU speed, overall processing power has not followed suite. This goes as a blow to Intel, given that Intel is the leader in CPU technologies.

Forbes writes,

There is a paper written by Gordon Moore, the co-founder of  Intel (  INTC –  news -  people ). Published 45 years ago this month, the paper predicted the number of transistors on an integrated circuit would double each year (later revised to doubling every 18 months). This prediction laid the groundwork for another prediction: that doubling the number of transistors would also double the performance of CPUs every 18 months.

This bold prediction became known as Moore’s Law.

Moore’s paper also contained another prediction that has received far less attention over the years. He projected that the amount of energy consumed by each unit of computing would decrease as the number of transistors increased. This enabled computing performance to scale up while the electrical power consumed remained constant.

But in a development that’s been largely overlooked, this power scaling has ended. And as a result, the CPU scaling predicted by Moore’s Law is now dead. CPU performance no longer doubles every 18 months. And that poses a grave threat to the many industries that rely on the historic growth in computing performance.

Now, that is something to watch out for, given that a larger part of the hardware business out there follows Moore’s Law like the Book of Wisdom. Let us see how Intel responds to this. Till then, Nvidia is happy it broke a barrier in technology. After all, that is what makes them so much better.

(Via: Neowin)

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Author: Chinmoy Kanjilal Google Profile for Chinmoy Kanjilal
Chinmoy Kanjilal is a FOSS enthusiast and evangelist. He is passionate about Android. Security exploits turn him on and he loves to tinker with computer networks. He rants occasionally at Techarraz.com. You can connect with him on Twitter @ckandroid.

Chinmoy Kanjilal has written and can be contacted at chinmoy@techie-buzz.com.
  • http://xpressabhi.com abhishek

    Moore's law has some defficiency but it was true for a long time so its not a shame.

    Newton's law of mechanics holds for a long time till quantum mechanics came into existence.

    Similarly new technology will emerge and older will fall.

    I am looking forward to QUANTUM COMPUTING which will change the whols computing system soon.

    • http://www.techarraz.com Chinmoy Kanjilal

      Well, I did not exactly call Moore's law shameful. I respect it a lot. Holding true for that long a period in a rapidly changing digital world is not easy. Maybe, that is why Computer Science and Engineering is not a core enginering. Because, it is ever-changing!
      The quirk here is on "Intel's Moore's Law". That is something defining Intel as a company. Moore being their co-founder, this law proved not to be holding anymore is a blow to Intel's business and development strategies. They will not hold anymore! Think about that.

  • https://www.atmcash.com Michelle

    I've been hearing this argument for 20+ years.. now about Intel hitting the wall with Moore's law but they just seem to keep busting through that wall every time. Nvidia would really like for Moore's law to be dead, but saying it in a press release doesn't make it so.

    Michelle

  • chris

    Many algorithms inherently can't be parallelized efficiently over a few, yet alone 100's of cores or threads, so there will always be the need for improving single threaded performance. Database applications are also hard to distribute as you can have many cores trying to access the same registers which may either clash or be locked out waiting for other processes to finish. It is true that Silicon has reached a power/speed limit, but there are more tricks to be played – such as using longer words, hence the rumors of a 128bit windows, as well as exotic new materials for making transistors that will have better leakage characteristics. And yes Moore's law has been incorrectly predicted as dead for at least the last 20 years.

 
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