Coming in 2011 – World Population Hits 7 Billion
By on December 30th, 2010

earth-globeAmong the predictions for the new year, I found a video showing the direction of the world’s population growth. I was surprised to learn that in 2011, the 7 billionth person will be born.


Even more surprising, I found out that the world’s population may actually stabilize at around 9 or 10 billion people by 2050. It was surprising, only because I remember Malthusian predictions that this planet was headed for a big train wreck because of the birth rates. It turns out that it was mostly hype, and birth rates are slowing as we move into the future. In addition, improving technology allows us to support more people on fewer resources.

However, don’t consider this prediction to be very accurate. I’m not certain that they’ve completely considered the ideas of technology’s accelerating returns. Several people believe that medical science could allow us to live forever by 2030. If a group of our population actually stops dying, what happens to the future population growth?

I don’t trust long term predictions made by scientists. They prove to be wrong more often than they are right.

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Author: Clif Sipe Google Profile for Clif Sipe
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  • Satan

    2773 – The Galactic Organization of Population Management (GOPM) Puts a cap of 13,560 people per mile of living space.

  • RealityCheck

    “I don’t trust long term predictions made by scientists. They prove to be wrong more often than they are right.”

    Do you have any data to back up this assertion? You’ll probably need a scientist to properly gather the data… ;-)

  • Tym Gorman

    I hope this is true, because if so we may have a shot at worldwide sustainability…

  • Stuart Alpe

    Clif Sipes should learn the meaning of overpopulation and its impact on Standard of Living. Globally we are already overpopulated and too many of our attitudes and technologies run counter to sustainable management. I suggest he reads Plan B by Lester Brown rather than blithely believe in the falibility of Malthus’ theory and trust in technocrats to get us out of the crap.

  • Dennis cannon

    this was interesting to watch ,but I think as the fertility rate drops the mortality rate will rise. Because the baby boomers will be at that Golden age .So to reach the next 2 bill.will take longer than stated .Yes that is my 2 cents worth .

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